Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.001024 0.001166 0.001309 0.001463 0.001623 0.001785 0.001960
2025-12-14 0.000774 0.000977 0.001187 0.001420 0.001667 0.001922 0.002203
2025-12-21 0.000625 0.000873 0.001140 0.001442 0.001771 0.002113 0.002495
2025-12-28 0.000465 0.000742 0.001050 0.001408 0.001805 0.002225 0.002698
2026-01-04 0.000356 0.000654 0.000999 0.001410 0.001873 0.002368 0.002930
2026-01-11 0.000256 0.000565 0.000939 0.001395 0.001916 0.002480 0.003126
2026-01-18 0.000177 0.000489 0.000886 0.001383 0.001960 0.002589 0.003315
2026-01-25 0.000094 0.000388 0.000795 0.001320 0.001940 0.002624 0.003419
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000322 0.000740 0.001295 0.001960 0.002701 0.003566
2026-02-08 0.000017 0.000278 0.000710 0.001297 0.002009 0.002808 0.003746
2026-02-15 0.000003 0.000245 0.000691 0.001311 0.002070 0.002927 0.003936
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000219 0.000679 0.001332 0.002139 0.003053 0.004133
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000166 0.000632 0.001321 0.002187 0.003176 0.004352
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000109 0.000569 0.001287 0.002206 0.003268 0.004537
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000083 0.000552 0.001314 0.002300 0.003446 0.004821
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000044 0.000497 0.001284 0.002323 0.003541 0.005009
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000022 0.000468 0.001288 0.002386 0.003681 0.005248
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000005 0.000429 0.001274 0.002425 0.003792 0.005453
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000394 0.001264 0.002467 0.003905 0.005658
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000330 0.001203 0.002441 0.003936 0.005768
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.001179 0.002461 0.004019 0.005936
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000272 0.001182 0.002514 0.004141 0.006148
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000259 0.001195 0.002580 0.004278 0.006377